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Publications

Publications

  1. Pouzou, J. G., Zagmutt, F. J. Guidelines to restrict consumption of red meat to under 350g/week based on colorectal cancer risk are not consistent with health evidence. Nutrition. 2024 Feb 15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.nut.2024.112395 

  2. Fenske, G.J., Pouzou, J.G., Pouillot, R., Taylor, D.D., Costard, S., Zagmutt, F.J. The genomic and epidemiological virulence patterns of Salmonella enterica serovars in the United States. PLOS ONE. 2023 Dec 5. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0294624

  3. Groenendaal,H., Costard, S., Ballard,R., Bienhoff, S., Challen, D.C., Dominguez, B.J. Kern, D.R., Miller, D.,  Noordergraaf, J., Rudenko, L., Schuurman, H., Spizzo, T., Sturos, M., Zollers, B., Fishman, J.A. Expert opinion on the identification, risk assessment, and mitigation of microorganisms and parasites relevant to xenotransplantation products from pigs. Xenotransplantation. 2023:1-17. DOI:10.1111/xen.12815

  4. Groenendaal H, Costard S, Zagmutt FJ, Perez AM. Sleeping with the enemy: Maintaining ASF-free farms in affected areas. Front Vet Sci. 2022 Sep 13;9:935350. doi: 10.3389/fvets.2022.935350. PMID: 36213391; PMCID: PMC9536137.

  5. Taylor D, Fenske GJ, Pouzou JG, Costard S, Zagmutt FJ. The CODEX Guidelines for Risk Analysis of Foodborne Antimicrobial Resistance are Incompatible with Available Surveillance Data. J Food Prot. 2022 Jun 20. doi: 10.4315/JFP-22-038. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 35723548.

  6. Costard S, Perez AM, Zagmutt FJ, Pouzou JG, Groenendaal H. Partitioning, a Novel Approach to Mitigate the Risk and Impact of African Swine Fever in Affected Areas. Front Vet Sci. 2022 Feb 22;8:812876. doi: 10.3389/fvets.2021.812876. PMID: 35274016; PMCID: PMC8902292.

  7. Taylor, D., Martin, J., Scallan Walter, E. (2022). Survey of companion animal veterinarians’ antimicrobial drug prescription practices and awareness of antimicrobial drug use guidelines in the United States. Zoonoses and Public Health. doi: 10.1111/zph.12915

  8. Zagmutt FJ, Pouzou JG, Costard S. Reply to M Springmann et al. J Nutr. 2020 Oct 12;150(10):2838-2839. doi: 10.1093/jn/nxaa261. PMID: 33044524.

  9. Costard S, Pouzou JG, Belk KE, Morley PS, Schmidt JW, Wheeler TL, Arthur TM, Zagmutt FJ. No Change in Risk for Antibiotic-Resistant Salmonellosis from Beef, United States, 2002-2010. Emerg Infect Dis. 2020 Sep;26(9):2108-2117. doi: 10.3201/eid2609.190922. PMID: 32818395; PMCID: PMC7454111.

  10. Zagmutt FJ, Pouzou JG, Costard S. The EAT-Lancet Commission’s Dietary Composition May Not Prevent Noncommunicable Disease Mortality. J Nutr. 2020 May 1;150(5):985-988. doi: 10.1093/jn/nxaa020. PMID: 32061173; PMCID: PMC7198286.

  11. Taylor, D. D., Martin, J. N., Morley, P. S., Belk, K. E., White, A. E., & Scallan Walter, E. J. (2020). Survey of production animal veterinarians’ prescription practices, factors influencing antimicrobial drug use, and perceptions of and attitudes toward antimicrobial resistance. Journal of the American Veterinary Medical Association, 257(1), 87–96. doi:10.2460/javma.257.1.87

  12. Pouzou JG, Kissel J, Yost MG, Fenske RA, Cullen AC. Use of benchmark dose models in risk assessment for occupational handlers of eight pesticides used in pome fruit production. Regul Toxicol Pharmacol. 2020 Feb;110:104504. doi: 10.1016/j.yrtph.2019.104504. Epub 2019 Oct 23. PMID: 31655092; PMCID: PMC6937384.

  13. Kinney, G. L., Akturk, H. K., Taylor, D. D., Foster, N. C., & Shah, V. N. (2020). Cannabis Use Is Associated With Increased Risk for Diabetic Ketoacidosis in Adults With Type 1 Diabetes: Findings From the T1D Exchange Clinic Registry. Diabetes care, 43(1), 247–249. https://doi.org/10.2337/dc19-0365

  14. Zagmutt FJ, Pouzou JG, Costard S. The EAT-Lancet Commission: a flawed approach? Lancet. 2019 Sep 28;394(10204):1140-1141. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(19)31903-8. PMID: 31571598.

  15. Akturk, H. K., Taylor, D. D., Camsari, U. M., Rewers, A., Kinney, G. L., & Shah, V. N. (2019). Association Between Cannabis Use and Risk for Diabetic Ketoacidosis in Adults With Type 1 Diabetes. JAMA internal medicine, 179(1), 115–118. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamainternmed.2018.5142

  16. Pouzou JG, Cullen AC, Yost MG, Kissel JC, Fenske RA. Comparative Probabilistic Assessment of Occupational Pesticide Exposures Based on Regulatory Assessments. Risk Anal. 2018 Jun;38(6):1223-1238. doi: 10.1111/risa.12936. Epub 2017 Nov 6. PMID: 29105804; PMCID: PMC5936674.

  17. Groenendaal H., Zagmutt F.J. (2018) Stochastic Modeling in Health Economics and Outcomes Research: Common Mistakes and How to Avoid Them. ISPOR Values & Outcomes SPOTLIGHT March/April 2018, Vol 4 No. 2: 30-33.

  18. Pouzou JG, Costard S, Zagmutt FJ. Probabilistic assessment of dietary exposure to heterocyclic amines and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons from consumption of meats and breads in the United States. Food Chem Toxicol. 2018 Apr;114:361-374. doi: 10.1016/j.fct.2018.02.004. Epub 2018 Feb 13. PMID: 29448093.

  19. Wang T., Zagmutt, F., Groenendaal H., (2017) A Breath of Better Decisions and Success. Solver-International, Sep. 2017:12-21.

  20. Mapfumo, Shadreck; Groenendaal, Huybert; Dugger, Chloe. 2017. Risk Modeling for Appraising Named Peril Index Insurance Products: A Guide for Practitioners. Directions in Development; Directions in Development-Agriculture and Rural Development; Washington, DC: World Bank. © World Bank.

  21. Costard S, Espejo L, Groenendaal H, Zagmutt FJ. Outbreak-Related Disease Burden Associated with Consumption of Unpasteurized Cow’s Milk and Cheese, United States, 2009-2014. Emerg Infect Dis. 2017 Jun;23(6):957-964. doi: 10.3201/eid2306.151603. PMID: 28518026; PMCID: PMC5443421.

  22. Cobb SP, Pharo H, Stone M, Groenendaal H, Zagmutt F.J. (2015) Quantitative risk assessment of the likelihood of introducing porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus into New Zealand through the importation of pig meat. Rev. Sci. Tech. 2015 Dec. 34(3):961-75.

  23. Costard S, Zagmutt FJ, Porphyre T, Pfeiffer DU. Small-scale pig farmers’ behavior, silent release of African swine fever virus and consequences for disease spread. Sci Rep. 2015 Nov 27;5:17074. doi: 10.1038/srep17074. PMID: 26610850; PMCID: PMC4661460.

  24. Zagmutt FJ, Schoenbaum MA, Hill AE. The Impact of Population, Contact, and Spatial Heterogeneity on Epidemic Model Predictions. Risk Anal. 2016 May;36(5):939-53. doi: 10.1111/risa.12482. Epub 2015 Oct 19. PMID: 26477887.

  25. Espejo L.A., Costard S, Zagmutt F.J. (2015) Modelling canine leishmaniasis spread to non-endemic areas of Europe. Epidemiology and infection. 143(9):1936-49.

  26. Groenendaal H, Zagmutt FJ, Patton EA, Wells SJ. Cost-benefit analysis of vaccination against Mycobacterium avium ssp. paratuberculosis in dairy cattle, given its cross-reactivity with tuberculosis tests. J Dairy Sci. 2015 Sep;98(9):6070-84. doi: 10.3168/jds.2014-8914. PMID: 26117348.

  27. Zagmutt FJ, Carroll CA. Meta-analysis of adverse events in recent randomized clinical trials for dimethyl fumarate, glatiramer acetate and teriflunomide for the treatment of relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis. Int J Neurosci. 2015;125(11):798-807. doi: 10.3109/00207454.2014.979982. Epub 2014 Nov 24. Erratum in: Int J Neurosci. 2016;126(1):i. PMID: 25387069.

  28. Pouzou JG, Warner C, Neitzel RL, Croteau GA, Yost MG, Seixas NS. Confined space ventilation by shipyard welders: observed use and effectiveness. Ann Occup Hyg. 2015 Jan;59(1):116-21. doi: 10.1093/annhyg/meu070. Epub 2014 Sep 22. PMID: 25245587; PMCID: PMC4824921.

  29. Mur L, Martínez-López B, Costard S, de la Torre A, Jones BA, Martínez M, Sánchez-Vizcaíno F, Muñoz MJ, Pfeiffer DU, Sánchez-Vizcaíno JM, Wieland B. Modular framework to assess the risk of African swine fever virus entry into the European Union. BMC Vet Res. 2014 Jul 3;10:145. doi: 10.1186/1746-6148-10-145. PMID: 24992824; PMCID: PMC4112856.

  30. Costard S, Fournié G, Pfeiffer DU. Using risk assessment as part of a systems approach to the control and prevention of HPAIV H5N1. Ecohealth. 2014;11(1):36-43. doi: 10.1007/s10393-014-0907-1. Epub 2014 Feb 1. PMID: 24488190.

  31. Roche S.E., Costard S., Meers J., Field H.E., Breed A.C. (2014). Assessing the risk of Nipah virus establishment in Australian flying-foxes. Epidemiol Infect. 2014 Feb 4:1-14. doi:10.1017/S0950268813003336

  32. Costard S., Fournié G., Pfeiffer D.U. (2014). Using Risk Assessment as Part of a Systems Approach to the Control and Prevention of HPAIV H5N1. Ecohealth. 2014 Feb 1: 1-8. Doi: 10.1007/s10393-014-0907-1

  33. de Glanville WA, Vial L, Costard S, Wieland B, Pfeiffer DU. Spatial multi- criteria decision analysis to predict suitability for African swine fever endemicity in Africa. BMC Vet Res. 2014 Jan 9;10:9. doi: 10.1186/1746-6148-10-9. PMID: 24406022; PMCID: PMC3918235.

  34. Costard S, Jones BA, Martínez-López B, Mur L, de la Torre A, Martínez M, Sánchez-Vizcaíno F, Sánchez-Vizcaíno JM, Pfeiffer DU, Wieland B. Introduction of African swine fever into the European Union through illegal importation of pork and pork products. PLoS One. 2013 Apr 15;8(4):e61104. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0061104. PMID: 23613795; PMCID: PMC3627463. 

  35. Zagmutt FJ, Sempier SH, Hanson TR. Disease spread models to estimate highly uncertain emerging diseases losses for animal agriculture insurance policies: an application to the U.S. farm-raised catfish industry. Risk Anal. 2013 Oct;33(10):1924-37. doi: 10.1111/risa.12038. Epub 2013 Apr 5. PMID: 23560798.

  36. Nigsch A, Costard S, Jones BA, Pfeiffer DU, Wieland B. Stochastic spatio- temporal modelling of African swine fever spread in the European Union during the high risk period. Prev Vet Med. 2013 Mar 1;108(4):262-75. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2012.11.003. PMID: 23419785.

  37. Costard S., Mur L, Lubroth J, Sanchez-Vizcaino JM, Pfeiffer DU. (2012). Epidemiology of African swine fever virus. Virus Research, 173(1):191-197. doi: 10.1016/j.virusres.2012.10.030.

  38. Hurd, H. S., Yaeger, M. J., Brudvig, J. M., Taylor, D. D., & Wang, B. (2012). Lesion severity at processing as a predictor of Salmonella contamination of swine carcasses, American Journal of Veterinary Research, 73(1), 91-97

  39. Kouamé-Sina SM, Makita K, Costard S, Grace D, Dadié A, Dje M, Bonfoh B. Hazard identification and exposure assessment for bacterial risk assessment of informally marketed milk in Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire. Food Nutr Bull. 2012 Dec;33(4):223-34. doi: 10.1177/156482651203300402. Erratum in: Food Nutr Bull. 2013 Mar;34(1):120. PMID: 23424888.

  40. Zagmutt FJ, Tarrants ML. Indirect comparisons of adverse events and dropout rates in early Parkinson’s disease trials of pramipexole, ropinirole, and rasagiline. Int J Neurosci. 2012 Jul;122(7):345-53. doi: 10.3109/00207454.2012.660586. Epub 2012 Mar 23. PMID: 22304415.

  41. Lehman, D, Groenendaal, H., and G. Nolder. Practical Spreadsheet Risk Modeling for Management. Chapman and Hall/CRC, September 1, 2011. Hardback textbook, 284 pages. To purchase from Amazon, select http://www.amazon.com/Practical-Spreadsheet-Risk-Modeling-Management/dp/1439855528. Supporting Information

  42. Groenendaal H, Bush M, Hodge FL, Dykstra K, Mudd P, Rajapakse A, Zagmutt F.J. (2011), Quantitative Risk Analysis: Improving Decision Making by Quantifying Uncertainty. American Association of Pharmaceutical Scientists Magazine, April 2011.

  43. Mariner JC, Hendrickx S, Pfeiffer DU, Costard S., Knopf L, Okuthe S, Chibeu D, Parmley J, Musenero M, Pisang C, Zingeser J, Jones BA, Ali SN, Bett B, McLaws M, Unger F, Araba A, Mehta P, Jost CC. (2011) Integration of participatory approaches into surveillance systems. Rev. Sci. Tech.Off. Int. Epiz., 2011, 30(3):653-659.

  44. Mudd, P.N., Groenendaal, H, Bush, M.A., Schmith, VD. Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Improving Early Drug Development Decision Making. Clinical Pharmacology & Therapeutics. 2010 Dec;88(6):871-5.

  45. Barkema, H.W., Hesselink, J.W., Mckenna, S.L.B., Benedictus, G., Groenendaal, H., 2010. Global prevalence and economics of infection with Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis in ruminants. In: Behr, M.A., Collins, D.M. (Eds.), Paratuberculosis: organism, disease, control. CAB International, pp. 10-21.

  46. Brace, S., Taylor, D., & O’Connor, A. M. (2010). The quality of reporting and publication status of vaccines trials presented at veterinary conferences from 1988 to 2003. Vaccine, 28(32), 5306–5314. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.05.041

  47. Groenendaal H, Tarrants ML, Armand C. Treatment of advanced Parkinson’s disease in the United States: a cost-utility model. Clin Drug Investig. 2010;30(11):789-98. doi: 10.2165/11538520-000000000-00000. PMID: 20818839.

  48. Costard S, Wieland B, de Glanville W, Jori F, Rowlands R, Vosloo W, Roger F, Pfeiffer DU, Dixon LK. African swine fever: how can global spread be prevented? Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2009 Sep 27;364(1530):2683-96. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2009.0098. PMID: 19687038; PMCID: PMC2865084.

  49. Groenendaal H, Wolf CA. Farm-level economic analysis of the US National Johne’s Disease Demonstration Herd Project. J Am Vet Med Assoc. 2008 Dec 15;233(12):1852-8. doi: 10.2460/javma.233.12.1852. PMID: 19072597.

  50. Navarro, I., and Zagmutt F.J. (2008) Chemical Health risks. In: Urban Water Security: Managing Risks. Jimenez B., and Rose J.B. (Eds.) Paris.

  51. Groenendaal H. and Zagmutt F.J. (2008), Scenarios analysis of changes in consumption of dairy products due to a hypothetical causal link between Mycobacterium avium subspecies paratuberculosis and Crohn’s Disease. J Dairy Sci. 91(8):3245-58.

  52. Zagmutt F.J. (2008) Optimisation in Risk Analysis. In: Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide (3rd Edition). Vose, D. (Ed). Wiley. PP. 435-444.

  53. Groenendaal H., and C.A. Wolf (2008). “Farm-level Economic Analysis of the US National Johne’s Disease Demonstration Herd Project, Journal of the American Veterinary Medical Association.” JAVMA 233(12): 1852-1858.

  54. Harvey N., Reeves A., Schoenbaum M.A., Zagmutt F.J., Dubé C., Hill A.E., Corso B. A., McNab W.B., Cartwright C.I., and Salman, M.D. (2007) The North American Animal Disease Spread Model: A simulation model to assist decision making in evaluating animal disease incursions. Prev. Vet. Med. 82: 176-197.

  55. Harvey N, Reeves A, Schoenbaum MA, Zagmutt-Vergara FJ, Dubé C, Hill AE, Corso BA, McNab WB, Cartwright CI, Salman MD. The North American Animal Disease Spread Model: a simulation model to assist decision making in evaluating animal disease incursions. Prev Vet Med. 2007 Dec 14;82(3-4):176-97. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2007.05.019. Epub 2007 Jul 5. PMID: 17614148.

  56. Kelley GO, Adkison MA, Zagmutt-Vergara FJ, Leutenegger CM, Bethel JW, Myklebust KA, McDowell TS, Hedrick RP. Evaluation of quantitative real-time PCR for rapid assessments of the exposure of sentinel fish to Myxobolus cerebralis. Parasitol Res. 2006 Sep;99(4):328-35. doi: 10.1007/s00436-006-0166-3. Epub 2006 Mar 23. PMID: 16555100.

  57. Crossley BM, Zagmutt-Vergara FJ, Fyock TL, Whitlock RH, Gardner IA. Fecal shedding of Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis by dairy cows. Vet Microbiol. 2005 May 20;107(3-4):257-63. doi: 10.1016/j.vetmic.2005.01.017. PMID: 15863285.

  58. Zagmutt-Vergara FJ, Carpenter TE, Farver TB, Hedrick RP. Spatial and temporal variations in sea lice (Copepoda: Caligidae) infestations of three salmonid species farmed in net pens in southern Chile. Dis Aquat Organ. 2005 Apr 18;64(2):163-73. doi: 10.3354/dao064163. PMID: 15918480.

  59. Groenendaal, H., D.T. Galligan, and H. Mulder (2004). “An Economic Spreadsheet model to Determine Optimal Breeding and Replacement Decisions for Dairy Cattle.” Journal of Dairy Science 87:2146-2157.

  60. Gilad O, Yun S, Zagmutt-Vergara FJ, Leutenegger CM, Bercovier H, Hedrick RP. Concentrations of a Koi herpesvirus (KHV) in tissues of experimentally infected Cyprinus carpio koi as assessed by real-time TaqMan PCR. Dis Aquat Organ. 2004 Sep 8;60(3):179-87. doi: 10.3354/dao060179. PMID: 15521316.

  61. Kelley GO, Zagmutt-Vergara FJ, Leutenegger CM, Adkison MA, Baxa DV, Hedrick RP. Identification of a serine protease gene expressed by Myxobolus cerebralis during development in rainbow trout Oncorhynchus mykiss. Dis Aquat Organ. 2004 Jun 11;59(3):235-48. doi: 10.3354/dao059235. PMID: 15264720.

  62. Kelley GO, Zagmutt-Vergara FJ, Leutenegger CM, Myklebust KA, Adkison MA, McDowell TS, Marty GD, Kahler AL, Bush AL, Gardner IA, Hedrick RP. Evaluation of five diagnostic methods for the detection and quantification of Myxobolus cerebralis. J Vet Diagn Invest. 2004 May;16(3):202-11. doi: 10.1177/104063870401600305. PMID: 15152834

  63. Weber MF, Groenendaal H, van Roermund HJ, Nielen M. Simulation of alternatives for the Dutch Johne’s disease certification-and-monitoring program. Prev Vet Med. 2004 Jan 30;62(1):1-17. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2003.11.006. PMID: 15154681.

  64. Groenendaal H, Galligan DT. Economic consequences of control programs for paratuberculosis in midsize dairy farms in the United States. J Am Vet Med Assoc. 2003 Dec 15;223(12):1757-63. doi: 10.2460/javma.2003.223.1757. PMID: 14690205.

  65. Groenendaal H, Nielen M, Hesselink JW. Development of the Dutch Johne’s disease control program supported by a simulation model. Prev Vet Med. 2003 Jul 30;60(1):69-90. doi: 10.1016/s0167-5877(03)00083-7. PMID: 12900150.

  66. Galligan, D. T.,Groenendaal, H.,Ferguson, J.D., Azzaro, G. Real Options Analysis to evaluate products used in dairy production. J. Dairy Sci. 85:(Supplement 1): 180, 2002.

  67. Groenendaal H, Nielen M, Jalvingh AW, Horst SH, Galligan DT, Hesselink JW. A simulation of Johne’s disease control. Prev Vet Med. 2002 Jul 25;54(3):225-45. doi: 10.1016/s0167-5877(02)00027-2. PMID: 12114011..

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