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Analyzing the time to complete a project using project planning tools nearly always underestimates the time to completion. It is not the fault of the software or of the analysts, but of the use of ‘best guess’ values for task durations, etc. in the project plan. Risk analysis will allow you to avoid systematically underestimating project costs and durations.
The project risk analysis course is designed to help those who wish to apply quantitative risk analysis modeling to project planning problems.
A project is defined as any set of tasks involving resources (human, machine, time, financial) with well-defined goals. Project risk analysis aims at identifying the risks and uncertainties that threaten the achievement of those goals or the efficiency with which the project can be carried out. The techniques are very general and intuitive and require little mathematical knowledge, but reward the project manager with a clear understanding of the risks being faced and efficient ways of managing those risks.
The course looks at resource, strategy and communication issues that management faces in risk assessment. It gets the participants used to the risk analysis modeling environment (in this case Crystal Ball with MS Excel and Crystal Ball with MS Project or @RISK with MS Excel and @RISK with MS Project, but the lessons apply equally well to other modeling environments).
This course is suited to those already familiar with project planning, who have some modeling experience and who are interested in developing these abilities further. The course content will provide the participants with tools to produce realistic, professional quality risk models. It is designed to encourage the modeler to develop creative problem solving skills to ensure that the risks being addressed are modeled accurately, efficiently and in a manner that provides decision makers with the clearest and most helpful input.
The course is ideally suited to project managers, project analysts, management consultants, and corporate planners, indeed anyone evaluating the schedule and cost risks associated with any type of project from building construction to software development.
All models are developed using MS Excel and MS Project and Crystal Ball or @RISK. It is important that participants have a basic working knowledge of Excel. However, no prior experience using @RISK, Crystal Ball, or other simulation tools is required. Trial versions of @Risk can be found from Palisade’s website here and trials of Crystal Ball can be downloaded from Oracle’s website. As the trial licenses last 15 days, participants should install it only a few days before the course.
In addition to @Risk/CB and MS Excel, participants are required to bring laptops with Microsoft Word, Microsoft Project, pdf reader software, and with a functional CD drive.
The course runs from 09:00 to 17:00 each day. Morning and afternoon coffee, and lunch are provided. Optional evening workshops on the first and second days allow extra time for running through example models and exercises.
ModelAssist is a comprehensive risk analysis training reference and is free of cost. This reference tool provides an in-depth explanation of all of the risk analysis concepts, techniques and methods introduced in this course and greatly complements the course material. ModelAssist can be downloaded or accessed directly from our website.
All of our courses aim to help the participants understand risk analysis from the bottom-up, which is achieved through a relaxed, informal and interactive environment, using plenty of examples and hands-on exercises where students apply and adapt what they have learned.
Our training courses provide an opportunity to develop or extend your professional network. We therefore arrange optional fun, interactive social events which take advantage of local attractions, cuisine, and culture. All social events are included in the course fee.
Course participants must arrange their own accommodation. However, we will be happy to provide information and alternatives for your travel arrangements. After you complete your registration form, please let us know that you will need our help.
Please contact us to obtain a code for the discounts below, or to discuss a special rate when registering 5 or more people. Discounts for groups of 3 or 4 people are applied automatically at registration. Discount rates cannot be combined.
* Early registration – 10% off registration (register and pay 30 days before course start date)
* Government/Academic – 5% off registration (Proof of eligibility requested after registration)
* Student – 25% off registration (Proof of eligibility requested after registration)
Use our contact form if you are interested in a course not currently in our schedule.
If you are looking to ground an important decision in robust analysis and evidence, let’s start the conversation.
